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Stockmarket - 12 Qtrs Positive

The March quarter return on the Australian Stockmarket (All Ordinaries Price index) was 8.0% and was the twelfth positive quarter in a row for a total 3 year increase of 78.6%. This 12 quarter positive stretch is a record based on our data back to 1875, only equalled back in December 1900. Comparable runs of positive quarters and what happened thereafter are summarised below:

* September 1987 - 11 positive quarters for a rise of 83.6%; in the following quarter the market fell 41.3%.

* September 1960 - 11 positive quarters for a rise of 63.8%; in the following quarter the market fell 19.2%.

* June 1927 - 10 positive quarters for a rise of 27.6%; in the following quarter the market fell 2.5%.

* December 1900 - 12 positive quarters for a rise of 25.2%; in the following 4 quarters the market fell in each quarter for a total fall of 7.9%.

You can track the history using data series graphing in the FinDem Research Centre.

Posted Friday, 14 April 2006


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